Jan252012

Prince Fielder Is Gone

Yesterday, Prince Fielder signed a nine-year, $214 million contract with the Detroit Tigers.

If Fielder had been traded before last offseason, maybe it wouldn’t have been so tough. The offseason of 2011 was set up to be the transition period for the franchise. The team would go young with a bevy of prospects who could potentially bring the Brewers back to the playoffs along with Ryan Braun and Yovani Gallardo. We understood Prince was gone — the standing ovation he received in Milwaukee’s last game at Miller Park was the beginning of the grieving process.

But first the Brewers traded for Shaun Marcum, and then the Brewers traded for Zack Greinke. The Prince Fielder grieving process stopped dead in its tracks and pulled a 180 on a dime. All of a sudden, there were thoughts of playoffs, championships, and all with Prince as a Brewer. The window, somehow, remained open.

The Brewers fell short, but the ride was wonderful. The new NL Central championship banner hanging at Miller Park represents the accomplishments of Fielder and the Brewers in 2011. The regular season was so great it was difficult to stave off thoughts of a potential Prince return to Milwaukee — after all, Prince always cared about winning, and if teams like Seattle and Washington were the teams willing to pay Fielder the most, maybe Milwaukee could convince him to return on a deal the Brewers could afford.

Hope springs eternal, right?

For Prince Fielder, it must have felt as if winter was eternal. First the Winter Meetings passed, and Albert Pujols signed his megadeal. But Fielder was left hanging as the Marlins decided to go with Mark Buehrle as their second impact player behind Jose Reyes. December plodded on, and the markets cleared. But Washington and Seattle loomed, as did Texas buttressed by their new billion-dollar television deal. The Brewers continued to spend in other places — K-Rod accepted arbitration, and the Brewers added a left side of the infield with Aramis Ramirez and Alex Gonzalez. But who knows — maybe Mark Attanasio, a man who has proved his willingness to spend, would splurge for another chance at a title behind Prince Fielder.

Then came January, and the Rangers blew $51 million on Yu Darvish’s posting fee and another $60 million on a six-year contract. All indications from the beat writers and the business types said they were out of the Prince Fielder sweepstakes. Then came the rumors the Nationals had put the finishing touches on a Fielder contract. Then those rumors proved to be false — the Nationals were out too.

With every cold January day that passed, that tiny hope grew. Maybe he’ll have nowhere else to go. Maybe the team that made Beast Mode a Wisconsin phenomenon was just the right landing spot.

But things rarely work out so cleanly, especially when it comes to the Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Club. We could cite economics. We could cite Scott Boras’s infuriating yet surgical skill as an agent. But realistically, there was no way Prince Fielder was ever coming back to Milwaukee.

For three months, we avoided reality and flirted with fantasy. Prince Fielder is gone now, and $214 million says there was no chance he was ever coming back. Personally, I’m happy for Fielder, and I’m happy he won’t be plying his trade against the Brewers in the National League for the next nine years. We’ve known for at least the last three years Fielder would eventually wear a different jersey. The Brewers may even compete in 2012 without him.

Still, watching Brewers baseball will not be the same without Fielder the hitter and without Fielder the teammate on the field. But the memories are plentiful, and I am just grateful we had the chance to call him ours for those six awesome years.

Jan212012

No, Buster, Braun Shouldn’t Give Back his MVP

In his Insider-only column today, Buster Olney suggests that the best way for Ryan Braun to start rehabilitating his image would be to offer to give back his MVP award at the BBWAA awards dinner tonight, all while maintaining his innocence. I’m not an Insider subscriber, so I can’t read the whole article, but based on what Olney and others are saying on Twitter, I gather that the main thrust of the idea is summed up by this paragraph from the publicly available intro:

The best chance for Braun to extricate something good from his situation would be to stand up on the dais Saturday, hold the NL MVP trophy in his hands — and offer to give it back to the Baseball Writers’ Association of America at its annual New York dinner, even while maintaining his innocence. This gesture would elevate Braun and separate him from the legions of athletes who have issued denials in the face of accusations of performance-enhancing drug use.

Suffice to say, I disagree. But more important than my disagreement is the mindset I think Olney is portraying here. What sort of person would think more highly of Braun if he did something like this? I believe it would be someone who views Braun’s positive test as a potential hero’s tragic downfall, which can only be overcome through some act of noble sacrifice. In other words, I think giving back the MVP would only elevate Braun in the eyes of a sportswriter. The average fan would see it as an admission of guilt, so from a PR perspective it really makes no sense. But the Buster Olneys of the world would love it, as it would fulfill their desire to see sports as a world of mythological heroes making grand gestures and struggling with mortal temptation in their quest for honor and valor. Unfortunately for them, that’s just not accurate. Entertaining and enjoyable as they may be, these are games, mere games, played by men, not gods.

Suppose Ryan Braun gives back his MVP award tonight. When he hits a go-ahead home run at Wrigley Field next season, will the legions of Cubs fans prepared to scream “CHEATER!” bite their tongues as they think of the selfless sacrifice he made for the sanctity of the game? No, they will merely shout it with all the more conviction that they’re correct, because it was never about the sanctity of the game—it was all about the sanctimony of the sportswriter.

Jan172012

Brewers Agree To Terms With Norichika Aoki

Such is the nature of deadlines: when one exists, it will be pushed to the limit.

The Brewers deadline to negotiate with Norichika Aoki was no different. The Brewers had until 4:00 PM Tuesday afternoon to sign the Japanese outfielder to a contract after winning the rights for a $2.5 million posting fee one month ago. At 4:39 PM, MLB.com beat writer Adam McCalvy (among others) reported that Aoki and the Brewers have agreed to a two-year contract with a club option for a third year.

No more details are available as of yet.

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Jan062012

Ryan Braun, Starlin Castro, and Moral Outrage

This year, my roommates really don’t care that much about sports. As far as I can tell, the only reason they watched Game Five of the National League Division Series with me was to watch my incredibly over-the-top reactions and yelling at every single pitch. But lo and behold, there they were, roughly one hour after reports of Ryan Braun’s positive drug test popped up on ESPN, asking me if I had heard about it, what I thought, if I could still be a Ryan Braun fan, etc.

Today, reports has surfaced that Starlin Castro may have sexually assaulted a woman at his apartment in Chicago during the fall. I will not hear about it from my roommates. SportsCenter is talking about the new head football coach at Penn State, and the “What’s Next” box shows nothing about Starlin Castro upcoming for discussion.

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Dec192011

TMZ: Ryan Braun’s Positive Test Due To Medication

The first major report since the original flurry of news surrounding Ryan Braun’s positive test has surfaced, this time from TMZ of all sources. The report is thin on the details, but according to a source “directly connected with Major League Baseball,” Braun’s positive test was not for a steroid or other performance enhancing drug, but instead for a medication for a “private medical issue.”

Unfortunately for Braun and the Brewers, Major League Baseball tends not to care what triggers the positive test. The sport generally has a zero-tolerance policy with these tests, and even if it comes out that Braun’s test was for a perfectly legitimate medical issue, the fact that he did not have an exemption (and he doesn’t for anything, as far as any reports so far indicate) will likely result in a 25-game suspension (for a “stimulant,” as was the case with Mike Cameron) or a 50-game suspension (as is the norm for PED-related cases, or the Manny Ramirez case, which involved fertility drugs).

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Dec182011

Brewers Win Bid On Japanese OF Norichika Aoki

The Brewers may be adding some outfield depth from across the Pacific Ocean this season. Friday night, it was announced the Brewers won the posting bid on Japanese outfielder Norichika Aoki at a cost of $2.5 million. Milwaukee now has an exclusive 30-day window to negotiate a contract with Aoki. If no agreement is reached, Aoki will return to Japan for another season.

But given the rather low posting fee — for example, the posting fee on Daisuke Matsuzaka was over $50 million — the Brewers should be able to negotiate a reasonable and relatively cheap contact with Aoki. The 30-year-old lefty has been compared to Ichiro as the “best pure hitter in Japan” since the all-star came over in 2001, but chances are this comparison is more lazy race-based analysis than anything substantial. Still, Aoki’s career NPB stats are very encouraging. In 697 games prior to 2011, Aoki owned a .336/.411/.472 line before stumbling a bit to a .292/.358/.360 season in 2011 — although I don’t have the full statistics on hand, that line screams poor luck on balls in play, as he still showed excellent on-base skills.

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Dec132011

Reminder: An Unfortunate Comparison For Mat Gamel

Below is a post from Feburary of 2011 detailing the comparison of the minor league stats for Mat Gamel and fellow “third baseman” turned first baseman Brett Wallace of the Houston Astros. Since then, the difference in leagues has sort of broken down the comparison, as Gamel was relegated to the majors for much of 2011 as Wallace spent much of his time as the Astros’ starting first baseman. Gamel continued to cut down on his strikeouts, with his 15.4% rate in 2011 his lowest since 2006 in A-Ball as he posted a .391 wOBA with Nashville. Meanwhile, Wallace continued to struggle with Houston, posting a .259/.334/.369 line in 379 plate appearances. But, at the same time, it’s worth noting Wallace is a full year younger than the 26-year-old (27 in July), something that should temper any optimism with the added year of data.

But, on the other hand:

Enjoy.

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Dec132011

Brewers Deal McGehee To Pirates For RP Veras

As soon as ink hit paper on Aramis Ramirez’s new three-year contract to play third base for the Milwaukee Brewers, it was clear Casey McGehee was not long for the roster. The Brewers had until 11 PM Tuesday to tender McGehee, an arbitration eligible player next season, a contract for next season or allow him to become a free agent. Instead, the Pirates jumped in at the 11th hour, trading the Brewers relief pitcher Jose Veras in exchange for McGehee.

Veras lives off a hard fastball, averaging over 94 MPH on the pitch. His repertoire also includes a curveball and a much lesser used splitfinger.

Fastball:

Curveball:

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Dec122011

At FanGraphs: The Aramis Ramirez Signing

I covered the Aramis Ramirez signing at FanGraphs today. Here’s a snippet:

Ramirez provides production from the plate the Brewers sorely missed at premium positions (other than second base) last season. The Brewers finished with a below-average position-adjusted OPS+ (sOPS+) at shortstop, center field, catcher and of course third base last season. Third base was the disaster — the other positions at least finished above 90. Thanks largely to McGehee, Brewers third basemen only produced 70% of the offense the rest of the league managed from the position.

Ramirez promises to plug this offensive hole quite well. Even in his down year in 2010, when he limped to a .245 BABIP, he still finished with a 92 wRC+. Every other season since 2004, Ramirez has managed at least a 120 wRC+, making him one of the best hitters at the position over that period. Only Alex Rodriguez, Chipper Jones, David Wright, Evan Longoria, and Kevin Youkilis have better bats over the past eight seasons as measured by wRC+.

There’s more — thoughts on his defense and a snazzy table from Baseball-Reference — so I highly suggest you go read the blog over at FanGraphs.

Dec112011

Ryan Braun’s Situation: A Curious Tweet From Jimmy Rollins

We’ve seen plenty of reactions to the news of Ryan Braun’s positive test for a prohibited substance, and with all the confusion surrounding the situation, the flurry of reactions and emotions is understandable. One of the most recounted facts of the situation so far is that no player has ever won his appeal with MLB after a positive test.

However, lost in a sea of replies was this odd tweet from free agent shortstop Jimmy Rollins:

The tweet is cryptic, as many of the details emerging about the case have been. It seems to suggest that there have indeed been times in which players have had their cases overturned, but the details aren’t available to the public — and understandably so, as these allegations would follow players regardless of their validity. Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus offered some confirmation later:

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