2011 Brewers Pitching Struggled Against The Eighth Slot | Disciples of Uecker

Disciples of Uecker

We'd like to go to the Playoffs, that would be cool.

The Brewers pitching staff — a rather perennial weakness turned into a strength by a pair of offseason trades — was very good throughout much of the 2011 season. The squad as a whole posted a 3.63 ERA despite the hitter-friendly nature of Miller Park. For the most part, that meant the Brewers succeeded up and down the lineup, except for two notable instances:

Batting 1st .273 .327 .451 .778 113
Batting 2nd .263 .310 .376 .687 93
Batting 3rd .237 .309 .394 .703 75
Batting 4th .254 .320 .442 .762 92
Batting 5th .259 .331 .406 .737 96
Batting 6th .236 .290 .343 .633 75
Batting 7th .227 .274 .373 .647 85
Batting 8th .271 .330 .397 .727 115
Batting 9th .180 .230 .254 .484 75
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/15/2012.

Purely looking at OPS, the table reads as we would expect. The Brewers took the most damage from leadoff and cleanup hitters — typically two of the three best hitters on the team, and then from third and fifth hitters. But as sOPS+ — or, adjusted OPS inside the split — tells us, the Brewers were hit the hardest from eighth place hitters relative to what we would expect.

The league average eighth place hitter notched just a .674 OPS, but against the Brewers, these hitters turned into top-of-the-order mashers, with 28 doubles and 12 home runs in just over 600 plate appearances. Perhaps notable: the Brewers only utilized the intentional walk twice in these situations. The rest of the league? 184 times in 10123 chances, a full 5.5 times more often than Ron Roenicke called for it. In many cases, the intentional walk is overused, and the benefit of facing the pitcher to lead off the inning undervalued, but it will be interesting to see if Roenicke sticks to his guns regarding the intentional walk in 2012.

The Brewers also took a bit of a beating from leadoff hitters, although that should probably be expected in the National League Central. Most of the teams sported excellent leadoff hitters in 2011, including the Pirates (Andrew McCutchen), Cubs (Starlin Castro), Reds (Drew Stubbs) and even the Astros (Michael Bourn). Even the Cardinals got in on the action after acquiring Rafael Furcal, who was mediocre against most teams but crushed the Brewers to the tune of five home runs in just 12 games.

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Tell us what do you think.

  1. airfigaro says: February 15, 2012

    Wow. I wish RR would walk that 8th hitter, not every time, but at times it was torture. Besides that stat, that has to be either a statistical anomaly or the mental state of the Brewers’ pitching staff.

  2. JC says: February 15, 2012

    I’m fine with the 8th hitter doing more damage than normal, if the staff continues dominating the 3rd place hitters. I think that result helps limit the big innings. Maybe Furcal will miss his normal slate of games and we won’t have to face him as much so the leadoff numbers will improve as well.

    Thank you for the information! Very interesting.


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