Consider, first, Zack Greinke’s statistics from his Cy Young Award-winning 2009 season.
229.1 IP, 64 R, 55 ER, 242 K, 51 BB, 11 HR, 2.16 ERA, 2.33 FIP
Now, consider Greinke’s numbers in his last 16 starts last season, from July 8th through September 28th.
103.1 IP, 35 R, 30 ER, 112 K, 31 BB, 9 HR, 2.61 ERA, 2.96 FIP
Pro-rated over 162 games (34 starts), we get:
220 IP, 75 R, 64 ER, 238 K, 66 BB, 20 HR, 2.61 ERA, 2.96 FIP.
There has been some accusations that Zack Greinke has not pitched at an elite level since arrival in Milwaukee — from certain writers at this space, and from others. That simply isn’t true. Once the calendar flipped to July, Greinke went into full Ace mode. It wasn’t quite a CC Sabathia stretch (1.65 ERA, 2.44 FIP in 17 starts), but Greinke was utterly fantastic down the stretch and pitched as well nearly as well as anybody in baseball now is capable of. The home runs are worrying, yes. But Greinke was so good at every other part of the game for the latter half of last season that even if the home run issues remain, Zack Greinke can pitch at an elite level in 2012.