Season Over: The 2010 Season, Graphically (And Some Words, Too) | Disciples of Uecker

Disciples of Uecker

We'd like to go to the Playoffs, that would be cool.

With Sunday’s loss to the San Francisco Giants, the Brewers have officially been eliminated from 2010 playoff contention. To say that this has been anything but a disappointing season would be a lie, as the Brewers have been down and out since May, essentially. That’s not to say that I didn’t enjoy watching, but everybody knows it’s more fun to watch a playoff team.

Let’s take a look at just how depressing 2010 was with the help of a graph. Baseball Prospectus provides playoff odds on their website, and they provide reports dating back to the beginning of the season. Using that, we can produce the following graph detailing the Brewers postseason odds at any point in the season. The overall height of the graph is the overall playoff odds, with the blue detailing the odds of the division and the yellow the extra odds of reaching via the wild card.

The Brewers had a chance in the early going, starting up around a 17% playoff probability and reaching as high as 36% after an okay start at 8-7. Again, after a solid west coast swing put them at 15-16, the Brewers were looking alright, at a 26.1% playoff odds. Then came the nine game losing streak which put the Brewers at 15-25 with a mere 5% chance of making the postseason and enticed me to write this slightly premature “Season Over” post.

The worst was yet to come, as the Brewers went 8-9 until June 7th, famously known as The Exorcism around these parts, sitting at 23-34 and with a meager 0.6% playoff odds. The release of Suppan galvanized the team, who went 11-7 in their next 18 to put a bit of hope back in the team at 3.6% odds, but the Brewers couldn’t capitalize and limped into the all-star break at 40-49 with a mere 0.8% playoff odds, and really, from that point on, it was just going through the motions and trying to figure out who would be around for 2011.

There are bright spots, as former Brewer and current blogger Seth McClung points out in his blog. However, as far as performance on the field goes this season, there was little else but disappointment, and nary a reason for optimism since April. Alas, such is life and such is baseball. Without the lows, where would the highs come from? As long as there’s a team in Milwaukee, I will watch, and I will have hope, and I’ll remain excited regardless of whether or not there’s a reason to be or not.

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