Top Brewers Prospects Around the Blogosphere | Disciples of Uecker

Disciples of Uecker

We'd like to go to the Playoffs, that would be cool.

The winter months can become rather bland for baseball fans. It occasionally cooks up a treat in the form of a big trade or a controversial free-agent signing, but largely, the winter months represent a holding pattern in which fans tirelessly pour over depth charts and work to convince themselves that their favorite team will be much-improved for the upcoming season.

For prospect junkies, though, the winter months also offer a cornucopia of prospect rankings to consume and debate. Ryan and I will be unveiling our Top 30 Prospects in the coming weeks, but in the meantime, I’ve compiled a listing of the major top prospect lists across the blogosphere:

Baseball America Baseball Prospectus MLB.com Minor League Ball Baseball Prospect Nation FanGraphs
1 Peralta Peralta Thornburg Peralta Peralta Thornburg
2 Thornburg Thornburg Peralta Thornburg Thornburg Jungmann
3 Jungmann Hellweg Jungmann Roache Coulter Peralta
4 Morris Jungmann Bradley Coulter Hellweg Henderson
5 Nelson Roache Hellweg Hellweg Jungmann Coulter
6 Hellweg Lopez Gennett Jungmann Lopez Hellweg
7 Roache Coulter Morris Haniger Haniger Nelson
8 Gennett Haniger Schafer Gennett Nelson Rogers
9 Coulter Taylor Nelson Morris Morris Gennett
10 Haniger Gennett Coulter Pena Roache Pena

**Links: Baseball America, Baseball Prospectus, MLB.com, Minor League Ball, Baseball Prospect Nation, and FanGraphs.**

These lists are obviously not uniform — and that’s largely due to the variance in scouting as a whole — but it’s important to recognize that each individual will prioritize overall ceiling and big-league readiness differently. That prioritization can account for many of the major differences. For example, FanGraphs has Jim Henderson ranked as the fourth-best prospect in the organization. Ryan and I wouldn’t dream of doing that because he possesses the ceiling of a solid seventh or eighth inning reliever in the big leagues. If I’m valuing prospects, I would prefer someone who has a chance to start over someone who’s definitely a reliever. But, for some prospect evaluators, the likely success at the big league level for Henderson outweighs the ultimate upside of someone like Jorge Lopez, who ranked as high as sixth on Baseball Prospectus and Baseball Prospect Nation.

Prospect rankings are rarely wrong or right. It’s about preference. Rather than having the correct rankings, it’s more important that an individual can defend their rankings with solid scouting reports and projections because the ultimate goal of these rankings is to illustrate a reasonable expectation for a prospect’s future role at the big league level. How one chooses to prioritize the individual skills ultimately becomes secondary. It’s the conversation that matters.

And the overarching conversation regarding the Brewers’ system is that the organizational depth in the minors has drastically improved. It lacks star power, which certainly hurts the overall value of the system, but the number of legitimate potential big leaguers has increased significantly over the past couple years.

For example, Logan Schafer currently projects to rank in the mid-teens in the Disciples of Uecker Top 30 Prospects. That represents a downward trend for Schafer from the last couple years. In that time, however, Schafer cemented himself as a high-floor prospect and has become the favorite for the Brewers’ fourth outfielder this upcoming season. His drop in the prospect rankings should not be seen as a reflection of Schafer’s overall talent level decreasing. Instead, it can be ascribed to the continued development of various Brewers prospects and the overall acquisition of talent in the MLB Draft and the trade market.

That’s a nice development to see if you’re a Brewers fan.

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Comments

Tell us what do you think.

  1. Matt T says: January 22, 2013

    It’s cute that MLB.com tries to rank prospects, but it seems that they simply reshuffle the last few 1st/sandwich Round picks that a team has. I mean, Jed Bradley is one of my favorites in the systems, but there’s no denying that his stock took a BIG hit last year and he certainly doesn’t garner a Top-10 ranking.

  2. Luke says: January 22, 2013

    Don’t try to double talk us! Obviously you’ve dropped Schafer in the rankings because you don’t think he’s a player capable of handling a 4th OF role. ADMIT IT! Fortunately I’ve projected him for an average well over .400 and 145 SB to balance things out.

  3. Chuck says: January 22, 2013

    This may be a stupid question, and it may be due to age, but why no love for Burgos? Is it because he is 25?

    • J.P. Breen says: January 24, 2013

      It doesn’t have much to do with his age. It has more to do with his overall projection, which is a fringe back-end starter. He probably profiles best as a swingman at the big league level with a chance to stick in the rotation if his repertoire continues to develop (and his command remains spot on).

  4. oh Hal says: January 23, 2013

    I understand Bradley being top 10. He has a pretty high likelihood of being a starting pitcher with an MLB career. Lopez took a step back, yet some guys love him. He failed in rookie ball.

    Seeing Gennet and Peralta on all these lists remind me when Ryan wanted to trade them for Logan Morrison because he didn’t think they’d be any good. Does Ryan put together the prospect list?

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