The Milwaukee Brewers weren’t a good team last season, but they could hit. The team ran out lineups with Rickie Weeks, Corey Hart, Ryan Braun, Prince Fielder, and Casey McGehee on a nightly basis, so it shouldn’t be surprising that they scored a ton of runs. The Brewers finished with 750 runs scored (4.63 per game) and a .262/.335/.424 triple-slash line, all of which are above the league average. However, some (certain Milwaukee journalists come to mind immediately) would have you believe that this offense isn’t that great due to it’s propensity to score runs in bunches. That’s a totally fallacious argument due to something called selection bias.
That said, the bare results we see here can sometimes have some noise in them, such as parks, scheduling, or sequencing luck. Let’s take a look at some alternate measures of the Brewers offense.
wOBA – .334, T-4th MLB, 2nd NL, 2nd NL Central
wRC (in runs): 790.6, 4th MLB, 2nd NL, 2nd NL Central
wRC+ – 110, T-3rd MLB, T-1st NL, T-1st NL Central
EqR (runs): 778, 5th MLB, 3rd NL, 2nd NL Central
Adjusted EqR (runs): 766, 7th MLB, 3rd NL, 2nd NL Central
By every advanced measure here, the Brewers actually look better than their #12 MLB/#4 NL actual runs scored. That’s because a few guys (Prince, mostly) struggled with runners in scoring position and so our runs scored will naturally trail our expected runs scored. That’s unfortunate for last year, as Milwaukee conceivably could’ve eked out a few more games, but as far as next year goes, it’s encouraging to see that the team was even better than the base results imply. There’s no denying it – the Brewers were one of the best offensive teams in the league last season.