Various Measures of the Milwaukee Offense | Disciples of Uecker

Disciples of Uecker

We'd like to go to the Playoffs, that would be cool.

The Milwaukee Brewers weren’t a good team last season, but they could hit. The team ran out lineups with Rickie Weeks, Corey Hart, Ryan Braun, Prince Fielder, and Casey McGehee on a nightly basis, so it shouldn’t be surprising that they scored a ton of runs. The Brewers finished with 750 runs scored (4.63 per game) and a .262/.335/.424 triple-slash line, all of which are above the league average. However, some (certain Milwaukee journalists come to mind immediately) would have you believe that this offense isn’t that great due to it’s propensity to score runs in bunches. That’s a totally fallacious argument due to something called selection bias.

That said, the bare results we see here can sometimes have some noise in them, such as parks, scheduling, or sequencing luck. Let’s take a look at some alternate measures of the Brewers offense.

wOBA – .334, T-4th MLB, 2nd NL, 2nd NL Central
wRC (in runs): 790.6, 4th MLB, 2nd NL, 2nd NL Central
wRC+ – 110, T-3rd MLB, T-1st NL, T-1st NL Central
EqR (runs): 778, 5th MLB, 3rd NL, 2nd NL Central
Adjusted EqR (runs): 766, 7th MLB, 3rd NL, 2nd NL Central

wOBA and wRC/+ all come from FanGraphs; A/EqR comes from Baseball Prospectus.

By every advanced measure here, the Brewers actually look better than their #12 MLB/#4 NL actual runs scored. That’s because a few guys (Prince, mostly) struggled with runners in scoring position and so our runs scored will naturally trail our expected runs scored. That’s unfortunate for last year, as Milwaukee conceivably could’ve eked out a few more games, but as far as next year goes, it’s encouraging to see that the team was even better than the base results imply. There’s no denying it – the Brewers were one of the best offensive teams in the league last season.

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Comments

Tell us what do you think.

  1. ESK says: November 8, 2010

    Don’t worry. Fewer at-bats, fewer base runners and more frivolous outs is just what this anemic offense needs to really get going next year. Bring on “aggressive” base-running?

  2. Brewers_Freak says: November 9, 2010

    brewers constantly put up big run numbers, top 5 at least the past three years. now that we have a coach thats willing to play to all players strengts look for more stolen bases which will go hand in hand with more runs. even with the potential of no fielder they should be able to be one of the more potent offenses in the mlb with both speed on the bases and the power to hit them in! look for high scoring outputs from them this coming season

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