With 10 games left, math not on Milwaukee’s side | Disciples of Uecker

Disciples of Uecker

We'd like to go to the Playoffs, that would be cool.

With their win over the Washington Nationals on Sunday, the Brewers improved to 79-73 on the year. Unfortunately for the Brewers, the St. Louis Cardinals also beat the Chicago Cubs, maintaining their 2.5 game lead for the second wildcard spot in the National League.

The Brewers have 10 games remaining in the 2012 season. The Cardinals have nine left. That means some rather unpleasant math for Milwaukee.

In order to tie for WC2, forcing a one-game playoff:
If the Cardinals go 0-9, the Brewers have to go 3-7.
If the Cardinals go 1-8, the Brewers have to go 4-6.
If the Cardinals go 2-7, the Brewers have to go 5-5.
If the Cardinals go 3-6, the Brewers have to go 6-4.
If the Cardinals go 4-5, the Brewers have to go 7-3.
If the Cardinals go 5-4, the Brewers have to go 8-2.
If the Cardinals go 6-3, the Brewers have to go 9-1.
If the Cardinals go 7-2, the Brewers have to go 10-0.
If the Cardinals go 8-1, the Brewers cannot catch them.
If the Cardinals go 9-0, the Brewers cannot catch them.

In order to pass the Cardinals, winning WC2 outright:
If the Cardinals go 0-9, the Brewers have to go 4-6.
If the Cardinals go 1-8, the Brewers have to go 5-5.
If the Cardinals go 2-7, the Brewers have to go 6-4.
If the Cardinals go 3-6, the Brewers have to go 7-3.
If the Cardinals go 4-5, the Brewers have to go 8-2.
If the Cardinals go 5-4, the Brewers have to go 9-1.
If the Cardinals go 6-3, the Brewers have to go 10-0.
If the Cardinals go 7-2, the Brewers cannot win outright.
If the Cardinals go 8-1, the Brewers cannot win outright.
If the Cardinals go 9-0, the Brewers cannot win outright.

The Cardinals’ remaining schedule: 3 at Houston, 3 vs Washington, 3 vs Cincinnati
The Brewers’ remaining schedule: 1 at Washington, 3 at Cincinnati, 3 vs Houston, 3 vs San Diego

Is a wildcard berth impossible? No, of course not. But every Brewers loss will hurt, and every Cardinals win will hurt even more.

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